Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 58.103976 66.144891 74.433229 83.581639 93.363800 103.479811 114.701456
2025-05-04 45.233094 56.557185 68.836134 83.000992 98.759128 115.631720 134.945868
2025-05-11 37.248129 50.187967 64.777508 82.157588 102.030650 123.805980 149.237992
2025-05-18 32.011330 46.136296 62.616203 82.783684 106.360079 132.663425 163.857140
2025-05-25 27.282154 42.068130 59.905558 82.292205 108.994041 139.263289 175.638408
2025-06-01 23.763992 39.078960 58.136977 82.601055 112.293999 146.412308 187.867041
2025-06-08 20.241020 35.687518 55.549041 81.635662 113.848488 151.350018 197.395883
2025-06-15 18.149248 33.985788 54.918728 82.930420 117.997142 159.239822 210.288913
2025-06-22 16.378048 32.537348 54.470234 84.334120 122.188612 167.119318 223.131909
2025-06-29 14.068437 30.056774 52.457769 83.579887 123.591629 171.570917 231.857521
2025-07-06 11.648782 27.124684 49.613156 81.561097 123.266851 173.822843 237.873895
2025-07-13 11.061571 27.023951 50.683713 84.692900 129.441418 183.986689 253.380632
2025-07-20 10.127296 26.276990 50.804558 86.561770 134.051624 192.314346 266.797797
2025-07-27 8.646598 24.423420 49.198777 86.001191 135.478842 196.689268 275.427377
2025-08-03 7.274278 22.565739 47.450088 85.134821 136.424701 200.405440 283.210032
2025-08-10 6.393839 21.500447 46.824236 85.775010 139.304541 206.512211 293.903626
2025-08-17 5.383889 20.019893 45.447583 85.272966 140.615043 210.608217 302.103544
2025-08-24 4.642952 18.971091 44.680377 85.588399 142.977854 216.011156 311.905033
2025-08-31 3.776577 17.473382 43.073916 84.602451 143.529342 219.070610 318.775493
2025-09-07 3.360342 16.950043 43.051974 85.924752 147.200255 226.114744 330.610909
2025-09-14 3.000258 16.498867 43.118373 87.358113 151.014148 233.343778 342.688266
2025-09-21 2.403654 15.277656 41.762002 86.587968 151.754348 236.581906 349.751561
2025-09-28 1.759613 13.688566 39.621654 84.526295 150.632496 237.354513 353.675529